Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Trocheck wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Trocheck 58.2% vs Gourde 48.0% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 64.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 66.3%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.8%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Trocheck
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Trocheck
Gourde
Last 9: Trocheck 4-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
4
Trocheck
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Trocheck
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
0
Trocheck
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Trocheck
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,061)
48.0% (914)
+9.6%
Power Play
65.1% (338)
54.2% (48)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (101)
43.9% (123)
+5.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Trocheck shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Trocheck
Gourde
Home
61.8% (735)
50.2% (512)
Away
55.8% (765)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Trocheck
Gourde
P1
57.7%
50.0%
P2
57.9%
45.3%
P3
60.4%
48.6%
OT
60.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
58.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |