Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 45.8% vs Karlsson 53.6% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 90.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 93.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 86.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 89.4%
10.6%
89.4%
Kempe
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kempe
Karlsson
Last 5: Kempe 4-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
0
Kempe
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
55.5% (659)
-16.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
59.3% (172)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
39.1% (128)
-5.8%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kempe is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Kempe shoots left. Karlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Home / Away
Kempe
Karlsson
Home
58.6% (29)
53.9% (488)
Away
25.6% (39)
54.1% (471)
By Period
Kempe
Karlsson
P1
36.4%
50.5%
P2
28.6%
54.8%
P3
54.2%
56.3%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
36.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |