Derick Brassard vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 90.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 81.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 80.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 86.8%
13.2%
86.8%
Brassard
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brassard
Karlsson
Last 5: Brassard 4-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
55.3% (897)
-5.7%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
61.1% (113)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
50.8% (132)
-0.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Brassard
Karlsson
Home
51.7% (143)
58.6% (560)
Away
48.3% (143)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Brassard
Karlsson
P1
46.4%
55.8%
P2
50.6%
55.6%
P3
53.9%
55.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |