Mikael Backlund vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 78.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 77.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Backlund
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Backlund
Karlsson
Last 10: Backlund 2-8 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
6
Backlund
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
4
Backlund
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Backlund
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
55.3% (897)
-3.4%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
61.1% (113)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
50.8% (132)
-6.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Backlund
Karlsson
Home
51.9% (673)
58.6% (560)
Away
49.9% (713)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Backlund
Karlsson
P1
51.4%
55.8%
P2
50.5%
55.6%
P3
51.4%
55.7%
OT
35.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | William Karlsson |