Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 51.9% vs Karlsson 46.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 78.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 79.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.7%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Oshie
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Oshie
Karlsson
Last 6: Oshie 3-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
2
1
Oshie
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Oshie
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
0
Oshie
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (35)
46.5% (744)
+4.9%
Power Play
53.5% (170)
16.7% (18)
+36.8%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
45.0% (149)
+5.9%
On power play, Oshie has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Oshie is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Oshie shoots right. Karlsson is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Oshie
Karlsson
Home
59.4% (138)
44.0% (425)
Away
45.2% (124)
47.1% (486)
By Period
Oshie
Karlsson
P1
53.4%
49.7%
P2
48.9%
41.4%
P3
55.1%
46.7%
OT
66.7%
22.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
52.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 2, 2016 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |