Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Oshie wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 48.9% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 83.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 83.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Oshie
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Oshie
Karlsson
Last 6: Oshie 1-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
0
Oshie
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
4
Oshie
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Oshie
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (58)
47.2% (786)
-5.8%
Power Play
53.0% (117)
54.5% (11)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
35.6% (163)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Oshie is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Oshie shoots right. Karlsson is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Oshie
Karlsson
Home
57.6% (85)
46.4% (478)
Away
40.0% (95)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Oshie
Karlsson
P1
37.7%
44.8%
P2
52.4%
45.6%
P3
54.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |