William Karlsson vs Wyatt Johnston
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Karlsson wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 55.6% vs Johnston 50.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 69.4%
Defensive zone
Johnston 73.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 59.1%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Karlsson
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Karlsson
Johnston
Last 6: Karlsson 3-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Karlsson
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
1
Karlsson
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (739)
50.7% (552)
+5.6%
Power Play
58.6% (181)
61.5% (13)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
43.5% (69)
+3.7%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Karlsson shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Johnston
Home
56.5% (462)
50.3% (342)
Away
56.0% (511)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Karlsson
Johnston
P1
57.1%
54.4%
P2
55.2%
47.2%
P3
56.7%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |