William Karlsson vs Wyatt Johnston
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Karlsson wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 57.1% vs Johnston 51.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 78.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 56.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Karlsson
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Karlsson
Johnston
Last 7: Karlsson 4-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Karlsson
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Karlsson
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
1
Karlsson
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (597)
52.6% (696)
+6.0%
Power Play
57.9% (57)
52.3% (88)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (52)
42.4% (125)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Karlsson shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Johnston
Home
59.6% (344)
52.8% (458)
Away
56.6% (362)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Karlsson
Johnston
P1
53.1%
48.9%
P2
62.1%
52.3%
P3
60.1%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | William Karlsson |