Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuraly wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 48.4% vs Johnston 50.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 65.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 59.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.4%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Kuraly
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kuraly
Johnston
Last 6: Kuraly 4-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
2
Kuraly
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (445)
50.7% (552)
-1.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
61.5% (13)
+38.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
43.5% (69)
-1.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Kuraly shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Johnston
Home
49.2% (248)
50.3% (342)
Away
47.3% (317)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Kuraly
Johnston
P1
48.3%
54.4%
P2
44.7%
47.2%
P3
51.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |