Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.7% vs Johnston 51.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 66.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 83.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 73.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Kuraly
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kuraly
Johnston
Last 7: Kuraly 6-1 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
0
Kuraly
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
0
Kuraly
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (515)
52.6% (696)
+2.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.3% (88)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (58)
42.4% (125)
+2.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Kuraly shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Johnston
Home
57.3% (293)
52.8% (458)
Away
51.2% (289)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Kuraly
Johnston
P1
53.8%
48.9%
P2
51.5%
52.3%
P3
57.6%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |