Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.1% vs Gourde 49.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 74.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 80.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.8%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Strome
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Strome
Gourde
Last 6: Strome 1-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Strome
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Strome
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Strome
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (684)
49.1% (731)
+1.5%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
54.3% (81)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
48.2% (85)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Strome is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Strome shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Strome
Gourde
Home
51.3% (448)
50.9% (479)
Away
53.4% (431)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Strome
Gourde
P1
51.4%
51.2%
P2
54.6%
49.8%
P3
50.7%
47.5%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |