Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Yanni Gourde
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Gourde 49.7% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 91.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 86.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Pageau
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Pageau
Gourde
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
0
Pageau
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Pageau
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
51.2% (469)
+8.4%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
42.9% (21)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
37.5% (48)
+18.9%
On power play, Pageau has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Pageau
Gourde
Home
59.3% (506)
47.8% (301)
Away
60.0% (482)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Pageau
Gourde
P1
56.8%
47.3%
P2
64.4%
53.4%
P3
56.9%
48.6%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |