Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 67.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 63.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 64.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Hischier
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Hischier
Gourde
Last 10: Hischier 2-8 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
5
Hischier
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Hischier
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
4
Hischier
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
49.1% (847)
+3.3%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
79.5% (44)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
39.5% (81)
+17.6%
On power play, Gourde has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Hischier shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Hischier
Gourde
Home
53.4% (844)
50.1% (491)
Away
54.3% (810)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Hischier
Gourde
P1
49.7%
54.7%
P2
54.6%
45.0%
P3
56.1%
49.4%
OT
65.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |