Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Strome wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 66.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 82.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 71.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Strome
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Strome
Gourde
Last 10: Strome 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
7
2
Strome
Gourde
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Strome
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (788)
49.1% (847)
-6.1%
Power Play
47.9% (96)
79.5% (44)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (34)
39.5% (81)
+10.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Strome shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Strome
Gourde
Home
42.6% (486)
50.1% (491)
Away
45.1% (432)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Strome
Gourde
P1
41.0%
54.7%
P2
47.8%
45.0%
P3
42.1%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |