Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bennett wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 62.2%
Defensive zone
Bennett 57.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 62.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Bennett
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Bennett
Gourde
Last 7: Bennett 1-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Bennett
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Bennett
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Bennett
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (766)
49.1% (847)
-0.9%
Power Play
45.1% (82)
79.5% (44)
-34.4%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (56)
39.5% (81)
-5.6%
On power play, Gourde has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Bennett shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Bennett
Gourde
Home
49.1% (458)
50.1% (491)
Away
44.8% (446)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Bennett
Gourde
P1
47.9%
54.7%
P2
47.2%
45.0%
P3
46.4%
49.4%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
47.0%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |