Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Bennett wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.1% vs Gourde 48.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 21-9 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 74.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 52.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 58.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Bennett
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
21
(30 meetings)
9
21
Bennett
Gourde
Last 10: Bennett 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
4
Bennett
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
9
Bennett
Gourde
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
5
8
Bennett
Gourde
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (5,533)
48.5% (4,763)
-1.7%
Power Play
52.4% (523)
57.5% (367)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (247)
39.9% (534)
+1.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,107).
Bennett shoots left. Gourde is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,791).
Home / Away
Bennett
Gourde
Home
48.1% (3,175)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
46.0% (3,128)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Bennett
Gourde
P1
47.8%
50.4%
P2
46.3%
47.2%
P3
46.9%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
47.0%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |