Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Gourde 45.9% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 70.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 73.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 67.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Couturier
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couturier
Gourde
Last 5: Couturier 1-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Couturier
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Couturier
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (758)
47.2% (636)
+6.2%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
45.0% (20)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (227)
32.2% (87)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Couturier shoots left. Gourde is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Couturier
Gourde
Home
50.7% (517)
44.1% (322)
Away
56.1% (538)
46.3% (421)
By Period
Couturier
Gourde
P1
55.2%
42.1%
P2
53.0%
50.2%
P3
53.3%
43.9%
OT
42.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Gourde
56.0%▲
47.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |