Zack Ostapchuk vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostapchuk 50.2% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 54.5%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 55.0%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 50.9%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (300)
43.2% (146)
+8.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
44.8% (29)
-1.2%
On power play, Girgensons has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Ostapchuk shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Home
49.1% (161)
40.3% (72)
Away
51.3% (197)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
P1
50.0%
43.8%
P2
45.7%
44.6%
P3
55.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%