Zack Ostapchuk vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostapchuk 48.4% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 53.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 50.8%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 51.5%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Last 6: Ostapchuk 3-3 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
0
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
2
3
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (612)
45.4% (2,700)
+3.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
49.1% (175)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (62)
42.2% (481)
+4.6%
On power play, Girgensons has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Ostapchuk is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Ostapchuk shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Home
48.6% (319)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
47.8% (362)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
P1
48.2%
45.7%
P2
45.8%
44.1%
P3
50.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |