Zack Ostapchuk vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostapchuk 49.3% vs Girgensons 45.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 50.3%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 53.9%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 51.2%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Last 6: Ostapchuk 3-3 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
0
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
2
3
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
45.2% (2,648)
+4.6%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
48.9% (174)
-32.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
42.0% (469)
+0.9%
On power play, Girgensons has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Ostapchuk shoots left. Girgensons is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,012).
Home / Away
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Home
48.9% (264)
45.3% (1,651)
Away
49.4% (314)
44.6% (1,640)
By Period
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
P1
48.4%
45.7%
P2
48.1%
43.7%
P3
51.1%
45.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostapchuk
62.0%▲
53.0%
49.1%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |