Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Zemgus Girgensons
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.4% vs Girgensons 47.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 61.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Pageau
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pageau
Girgensons
Last 7: Pageau 5-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Girgensons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (831)
47.7% (560)
+7.7%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
28.6% (7)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (175)
33.3% (12)
+18.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Pageau is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Pageau shoots right. Girgensons is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Pageau
Girgensons
Home
58.4% (502)
51.1% (266)
Away
51.4% (516)
43.8% (313)
By Period
Pageau
Girgensons
P1
57.3%
48.5%
P2
56.7%
46.8%
P3
50.4%
46.2%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |