Zack Ostapchuk vs Zemgus Girgensons
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostapchuk 49.0% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 56.3%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 59.3%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 50.1%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Last 6: Ostapchuk 3-3 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
0
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
2
3
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (271)
47.2% (127)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
50.0% (2)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Ostapchuk has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Ostapchuk shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
Home
49.3% (140)
50.0% (80)
Away
47.9% (142)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Ostapchuk
Girgensons
P1
49.1%
40.5%
P2
48.9%
54.3%
P3
47.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |