Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Coyle 48.8% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 86.8%
Defensive zone
Raty 58.3%
Neutral zone
Raty 68.4%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Raty
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Raty
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
2
Raty
Coyle
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Raty
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
49.5% (576)
+7.3%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
54.2% (48)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
43.4% (145)
+14.9%
On power play, Raty has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Raty is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Raty shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Raty
Coyle
Home
57.1% (168)
47.4% (409)
Away
57.6% (165)
50.0% (360)
By Period
Raty
Coyle
P1
62.4%
50.8%
P2
56.7%
46.0%
P3
53.3%
48.4%
OT
60.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
65.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |