Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Coyle 50.5% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 86.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 79.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 81.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 83.0%
17.0%
83.0%
Raty
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Raty
Coyle
Last 5: Raty 0-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Raty
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Raty
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Raty
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
52.3% (811)
+8.2%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
44.3% (61)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
44.8% (181)
+19.0%
On power play, Raty has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Raty is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Raty shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Raty
Coyle
Home
61.4% (332)
49.0% (537)
Away
61.5% (260)
52.1% (516)
By Period
Raty
Coyle
P1
56.6%
48.7%
P2
67.4%
49.6%
P3
59.6%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
61.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |