Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Coyle 48.8% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Raty
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Raty
Coyle
Last 10: Raty 3-7 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
2
Raty
Coyle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
3
Raty
Coyle
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
3
Raty
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
49.4% (7,856)
+9.1%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
50.0% (792)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
43.6% (1,090)
+19.6%
On power play, Raty has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Home / Away
Raty
Coyle
Home
59.6% (547)
49.8% (4,835)
Away
59.4% (461)
47.9% (4,903)
By Period
Raty
Coyle
P1
59.5%
49.4%
P2
62.8%
48.3%
P3
56.6%
48.8%
OT
53.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
62.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |