Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 51.9% vs McDavid 51.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 50.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 67.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.1%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Raty
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Raty
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Raty
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (78)
51.5% (889)
+2.3%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
63.9% (36)
-3.9%
On power play, McDavid has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Raty is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Raty shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Raty
McDavid
Home
55.3% (47)
50.7% (513)
Away
52.8% (36)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Raty
McDavid
P1
65.4%
52.3%
P2
48.3%
51.6%
P3
50.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
54.2%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |