Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs McDavid 47.9% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 81.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 92.1%
Neutral zone
Raty 82.9%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Raty
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Raty
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
47.7% (715)
+9.1%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
51.9% (52)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
22.2% (9)
+36.1%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Raty shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Raty
McDavid
Home
57.1% (168)
47.3% (387)
Away
57.6% (165)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Raty
McDavid
P1
62.4%
47.6%
P2
56.7%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
65.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |