Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Larkin 54.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 54.1%
Defensive zone
Raty 57.1%
Neutral zone
Raty 53.1%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Raty
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Raty
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
52.6% (1,117)
+4.2%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
60.7% (305)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
55.9% (177)
+2.4%
On power play, Raty has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Raty shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Raty
Larkin
Home
57.1% (168)
54.7% (783)
Away
57.6% (165)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Raty
Larkin
P1
62.4%
55.9%
P2
56.7%
56.1%
P3
53.3%
51.1%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
65.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |