Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Larkin 52.4% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 63.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 86.0%
Neutral zone
Raty 71.9%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Raty
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Raty
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
51.7% (878)
+8.8%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
58.5% (246)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
48.2% (166)
+15.6%
On power play, Raty has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Raty
Larkin
Home
61.4% (332)
52.4% (647)
Away
61.5% (260)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Raty
Larkin
P1
56.6%
52.2%
P2
67.4%
53.1%
P3
59.6%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
61.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |