Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 88.8%
Defensive zone
Raty 62.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 74.3%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Raty
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Raty
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Gaudreau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Raty
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
49.2% (858)
+7.6%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
39.0% (41)
+33.7%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
46.0% (198)
+12.3%
On power play, Raty has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Raty is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Raty shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Raty
Gaudreau
Home
57.1% (168)
47.1% (546)
Away
57.6% (165)
49.4% (551)
By Period
Raty
Gaudreau
P1
62.4%
46.8%
P2
56.7%
46.8%
P3
53.3%
51.1%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
65.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%