Aatu Raty vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 75.0%
Defensive zone
Raty 59.6%
Neutral zone
Raty 63.5%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Raty
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Raty
Gaudreau
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Gaudreau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
3
Raty
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
48.7% (3,745)
+9.8%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
53.9% (219)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
46.6% (789)
+16.6%
On power play, Raty has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Home / Away
Raty
Gaudreau
Home
59.6% (547)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
59.4% (461)
47.8% (2,316)
By Period
Raty
Gaudreau
P1
59.5%
49.7%
P2
62.8%
47.3%
P3
56.6%
49.1%
OT
53.3%
36.7%
Final 5 min
62.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |