Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 63.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 71.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 62.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Raty
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Gaudreau
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Raty
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
2
Raty
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
45.0% (389)
+15.5%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
31.8% (22)
+43.2%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
37.6% (125)
+26.2%
On power play, Raty has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Raty is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Raty shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Raty
Gaudreau
Home
61.4% (332)
42.6% (277)
Away
61.5% (260)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Raty
Gaudreau
P1
56.6%
43.8%
P2
67.4%
44.8%
P3
59.6%
39.2%
Final 5 min
61.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |