Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 51.9% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Raty 60.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 69.6%
Neutral zone
Raty 51.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Raty
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (78)
56.1% (690)
-2.3%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
64.6% (96)
-4.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Raty is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Raty shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Raty
O'Reilly
Home
55.3% (47)
58.3% (408)
Away
52.8% (36)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Raty
O'Reilly
P1
65.4%
57.7%
P2
48.3%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
54.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%