Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 63.0%
Defensive zone
Raty 60.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.2%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Raty
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Raty
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Raty
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
56.2% (983)
+0.6%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
55.5% (254)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
52.0% (102)
+6.3%
On power play, Raty has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Raty shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Raty
O'Reilly
Home
57.1% (168)
56.2% (697)
Away
57.6% (165)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Raty
O'Reilly
P1
62.4%
54.5%
P2
56.7%
55.5%
P3
53.3%
57.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
65.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |