Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 51.9% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 80.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 56.1%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Raty
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Raty
Kuraly
Last 7: Raty 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Raty
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Raty
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (78)
49.2% (901)
+4.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
68.2% (22)
-8.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Raty is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Raty shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Raty
Kuraly
Home
55.3% (47)
51.7% (603)
Away
52.8% (36)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Raty
Kuraly
P1
65.4%
50.9%
P2
48.3%
49.5%
P3
50.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
54.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |