Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Raty leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Raty 87.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 50.2%
Neutral zone
Raty 66.3%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Raty
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Raty
Kuraly
Last 10: Raty 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Raty
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
5
3
Raty
Kuraly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
51.5% (5,141)
+7.0%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
56.0% (100)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
44.2% (1,086)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Raty is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Raty shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Raty
Kuraly
Home
59.6% (547)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
59.4% (461)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Raty
Kuraly
P1
59.5%
51.1%
P2
62.8%
49.9%
P3
56.6%
50.0%
OT
53.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
62.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |