Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 87.1%
Defensive zone
Raty 67.7%
Neutral zone
Raty 74.6%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Raty
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Raty
Kuraly
Last 6: Raty 4-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
51.8% (444)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
45.3% (150)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Raty
Kuraly
Home
61.4% (332)
54.6% (304)
Away
61.5% (260)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Raty
Kuraly
P1
56.6%
55.2%
P2
67.4%
45.7%
P3
59.6%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |