Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cirelli shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Cirelli 49.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 81.5%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 60.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 65.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Fantilli
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Fantilli
Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
3
Fantilli
Cirelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
1
Fantilli
Cirelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
50.9% (709)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
43.4% (76)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
44.0% (150)
-44.0%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Cirelli
Home
46.8% (218)
50.6% (494)
Away
39.7% (174)
47.6% (441)
By Period
Fantilli
Cirelli
P1
40.3%
52.3%
P2
38.1%
45.4%
P3
54.1%
49.5%
OT
30.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
38.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |