Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Cirelli 49.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 72.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 75.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Fantilli
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Fantilli
Cirelli
Last 10: Fantilli 3-7 Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Cirelli
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
4
Fantilli
Cirelli
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Cirelli
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
50.4% (613)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
69.9% (83)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
36.5% (208)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Cirelli
Home
50.8% (472)
54.2% (395)
Away
49.2% (480)
45.0% (509)
By Period
Fantilli
Cirelli
P1
47.8%
50.8%
P2
52.7%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
46.6%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |