Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cirelli shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Cirelli 50.1% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 77.2%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 58.3%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 68.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Fantilli
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Fantilli
Cirelli
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
3
Fantilli
Cirelli
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Cirelli
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
5
Fantilli
Cirelli
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
49.9% (1,052)
-9.2%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
54.9% (82)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
48.7% (158)
-32.0%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Cirelli
Home
44.1% (488)
46.7% (649)
Away
38.6% (531)
53.5% (643)
By Period
Fantilli
Cirelli
P1
42.0%
50.1%
P2
43.0%
51.1%
P3
39.3%
48.5%
OT
11.1%
64.3%
Final 5 min
38.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |