Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Cizikas 54.4% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 79.9%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 50.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 67.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Fantilli
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Fantilli
Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Fantilli
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
3
Fantilli
Cizikas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
56.4% (576)
-15.7%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
50.0% (2)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
33.3% (33)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Cizikas
Home
44.1% (488)
55.4% (303)
Away
38.6% (531)
54.9% (308)
By Period
Fantilli
Cizikas
P1
42.0%
53.0%
P2
43.0%
56.0%
P3
39.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
38.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |