Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Cizikas 51.9% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 91.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 62.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 75.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Fantilli
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Fantilli
Cizikas
Last 10: Fantilli 3-7 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Cizikas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
3
Fantilli
Cizikas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
5
Fantilli
Cizikas
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
53.4% (8,946)
-8.7%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
55.4% (177)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
44.4% (1,895)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Fantilli is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,569).
Fantilli shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Cizikas
Home
47.3% (1,178)
53.7% (5,498)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
50.1% (5,521)
By Period
Fantilli
Cizikas
P1
44.0%
53.0%
P2
46.2%
51.1%
P3
45.9%
51.7%
OT
24.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |