Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Cizikas 53.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 77.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 63.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 58.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Fantilli
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Fantilli
Cizikas
Last 7: Fantilli 3-4 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Cizikas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
3
Fantilli
Cizikas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Cizikas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
54.4% (524)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
100.0% (3)
-47.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
47.6% (42)
+6.9%
On power play, Cizikas has a +47.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Cizikas
Home
50.8% (472)
53.3% (270)
Away
49.2% (480)
54.8% (299)
By Period
Fantilli
Cizikas
P1
47.8%
57.2%
P2
52.7%
56.3%
P3
50.0%
49.5%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |