Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Haula 54.3% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 81.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 65.0%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 62.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Fantilli
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Fantilli
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
Fantilli
Haula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
57.6% (684)
-14.3%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
46.0% (63)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
45.5% (145)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Haula
Home
46.8% (218)
56.3% (449)
Away
39.7% (174)
53.3% (443)
By Period
Fantilli
Haula
P1
40.3%
58.4%
P2
38.1%
54.9%
P3
54.1%
52.0%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Erik Haula |