Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Haula 52.3% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 73.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 72.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 57.2%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Fantilli
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Fantilli
Haula
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Haula
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Haula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
3
Fantilli
Haula
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
52.9% (612)
-12.2%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
56.3% (32)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
48.0% (75)
-31.3%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Haula
Home
44.1% (488)
54.2% (345)
Away
38.6% (531)
51.1% (374)
By Period
Fantilli
Haula
P1
42.0%
55.8%
P2
43.0%
48.0%
P3
39.3%
54.1%
OT
11.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |