Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Haula 52.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 92.8%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 85.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 87.2%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Fantilli
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Fantilli
Haula
Last 10: Fantilli 1-9 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
3
Fantilli
Haula
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
5
Fantilli
Haula
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
9
Fantilli
Haula
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
52.9% (7,683)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
57.5% (603)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
43.5% (791)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Fantilli is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,569).
Fantilli shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Haula
Home
47.3% (1,178)
53.4% (4,478)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
51.3% (4,599)
By Period
Fantilli
Haula
P1
44.0%
53.2%
P2
46.2%
51.4%
P3
45.9%
52.7%
OT
24.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |