Adam Fantilli vs Frederick Gaudreau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Gaudreau 49.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 84.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 64.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 60.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Last 6: Fantilli 1-5 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
5
Fantilli
Gaudreau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
49.0% (408)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
68.0% (25)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
49.1% (114)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Home
46.8% (218)
50.8% (319)
Away
39.7% (174)
48.7% (228)
By Period
Fantilli
Gaudreau
P1
40.3%
53.4%
P2
38.1%
47.4%
P3
54.1%
50.0%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |