Adam Fantilli vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 94.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 66.0%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 82.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Gaudreau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Fantilli
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
45.0% (389)
+4.6%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
31.8% (22)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
37.6% (125)
+16.9%
On power play, Fantilli has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Home
50.8% (472)
42.6% (277)
Away
49.2% (480)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Fantilli
Gaudreau
P1
47.8%
43.8%
P2
52.7%
44.8%
P3
50.0%
39.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |