Adam Fantilli vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 76.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 75.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 52.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Last 10: Fantilli 6-4 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Gaudreau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
6
Fantilli
Gaudreau
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
48.7% (3,745)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
53.9% (219)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
46.6% (789)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (794).
Fantilli shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Home
47.3% (1,178)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
47.8% (2,316)
By Period
Fantilli
Gaudreau
P1
44.0%
49.7%
P2
46.2%
47.3%
P3
45.9%
49.1%
OT
24.1%
36.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |