Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Tavares 58.7% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 85.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 76.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Fantilli
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Fantilli
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
59.2% (1,035)
-15.9%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
60.0% (310)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Tavares
Home
46.8% (218)
57.5% (668)
Away
39.7% (174)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Fantilli
Tavares
P1
40.3%
58.0%
P2
38.1%
60.1%
P3
54.1%
61.0%
OT
30.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
38.9%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |