Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Tavares 57.2% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 69.2%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 71.4%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 69.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Fantilli
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Fantilli
Tavares
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Fantilli
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Fantilli
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
58.0% (914)
-8.4%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
57.0% (235)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
57.9% (19)
-3.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Tavares
Home
50.8% (472)
57.8% (614)
Away
49.2% (480)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Fantilli
Tavares
P1
47.8%
58.0%
P2
52.7%
56.9%
P3
50.0%
58.4%
OT
30.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |